Joined October 2017
Wow, 28% thinks the halving cycle is dead. IMO we either front-run or pump again. It will not stop after 3 spectacular halvings. Bitcoin s2f ratio will jump from 55 to 110 after 2024 halving. Investors will notice that BTC will be scarcer than gold and real estate.
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#Bitcoin jumped after 2020 halving, as predicted. Question is will BTC pump again after March 2024 halving? Or will we front-run? Or is the halving cyclec dead?
50% Pump again
22% Front-run
28% Halving cycle dead
46,308 votes • Final results
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The June 2023 Feds Funds Rate implied by Eurodollar Futures has fallen by 65bps over the past twenty days. The market is beginning to walk back the Fed's hawkishness.
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*FED SWAPS DOWNGRADE CHANCE OF A HALF-POINT HIKE IN SEPTEMBER
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Twitter has now suspended the user who Tweeted the clip of someone at the WEF saying “We need a re-calibration of human rights like freedom of speech.”
Things heard at WEF: "We need a re-calibration of human rights like freedom of speech..."
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PlanB retweeted
So many gems coming out of Davos. “Recalibration of human rights.” Buy #Bitcoin while you still can.
Wittgenstein
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💥BREAKING: Balenciaga to accept #Bitcoin in US 💃👜
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Interesting poll results: 81% thinks #bitcoin stays below $500K next 5 years. S2F model predicts $500K+ average after 2024 halving. Very similar to March 2019 when I published S2F model and BTC was below $4K. Majority thought S2F prediction of $55K after 2020 halving was crazy.
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Watch out. Fake Instagram scammers active, pretending to be PlanB (35k followers...). I an only on Twitter! Not on Instagram, Snap, Facebook, Tiktok, Telegram etc etc. Twitter only. And I do not direct message you, and do not ask for money or bitcoin. Those are all scammers!
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Next 5 year #bitcoin price will stay below:
12% $30K
30% $100K
39% $500K
19% $1M
134,812 votes • Final results
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Predicting the future price of bitcoin is impossible according to the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). So why did S2F correctly predict a price jump after 2020 halving? And what about 2024 halving? I wrote an article about EMH & S2F in Jan2020 (BTC $8K). medium.com/@100trillionUSD/e…
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Original 2019 $55K S2F model seems to fit better than later $100K update. Interestingly a refit based on 18m average S2F ratio and 3 yrs new data confirms the original model. The bad news: $100K was probably too high. The good news: model still points to $500K after 2024 halving.
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PlanB retweeted
The Sovereign Individual (1999) is a guide for navigating the current transition from Industrial to Information Age. Remarkably, it predicted the rise of 'digital gold'. “If our deductions are correct, you stand at the threshold of the most sweeping revolution in history.” A🧵
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#bitcoin and S&P500 .. hmm
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Realized Price / Moving Average (RPMA, purple) shows the #bitcoin cycle best. Relative Strength Index (RSI, yellow) is similar, but can be misleading at critical times (e.g. 2nd half 2021). The good news: bear market is almost over. Waiting for RPMA and RSI to start rising again.
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I own #Bitcoin because I don't trust the government to protect the purchasing power of my money. Central banks are supposed to be trusted not to debase our currency but they breach that trust time and time again. #Bitcoin fixes this. Thank you for having me @FoxBusiness!
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S&P500 ultimo 2019 (before covid) $3200, now $3900 = +20% #Bitcoin ult.2019 $7500, now $30K = +300%
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PlanB retweeted
Assurance Opinion Once Again Re-affirms Tether’s Reserves Fully Backed; Reveals Significant Reductions in Commercial Paper and Increase in U.S. Treasury Bills tether.to/en/assurance-opini…
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Math beats politics. Always has, always will. #bitcoin
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